RSS | Archive | Random | E-mail


My name is Vamsi and I like skittles.



More Space for whatever

Oh, we were dating?


25 October 11

BCS projections

Just trying to explain college football BCS to my friend, here’s my current (optimistic) projections.  Will check back in December.

BCS Championship Game - LSU (SEC champion) v Stanford (Pac-12 champion)

Sugar Bowl - Alabama (at-large) v Oklahoma State (at-large)

Orange Bowl - Cincinnati (Big East champion) v Virginia Tech (ACC champion)

Fiesta Bowl - Oklahoma (Big-12 champion) v Boise State (at-large)

Rose Bowl - Oregon (at-large) v Wisconsin (Big-10 champion)


  • The Big-10 title game loser will have at least 2 losses, as Wisconsin/Mich State each already have 1 loss.  I think Mich State loses the rematch, but no guarantees.
  • I’m assuming Oklahoma wins out, and Oklahoma State finishes with one-loss.  For Stanford to get in, it needs an OK State loss.  If Oklahoma finishes with 2 or more losses, that opens the door for the Big-10 loser to get a bid.
  • I’m not a believer in Clemson, and Virginia Tech manages to win those big games when it needs, so I think VT takes the ACC Championship Game.


If Clemson wins out, they still don’t make the title game over an undefeated Big-12 or Pac-10 team, but they may trump Boise.  Orange Bowl is going to be hard-pressed to avoid an abortion of a game between the ACC and Big East champions.

If Oregon loses a third game, there will be two representatives from Big-12 and Big-10.  SEC is already maxed out, and ACC/Big East won’t be good enough for a second bid.

If Oregon beats Stanford, they go to the Rose Bowl, and a one-loss Stanford still probably goes somewhere (to the Fiesta)

There will be no SEC-title game rematch of LSU/Alabama, unless every remaining major undefeated team (Stanford, Clemson, Kansas State, Oklahoma State) loses, and maybe even Boise.

A Big-10 second team will trump a 1- or 2-loss Kansas State, and possibly a 1-loss Oklahoma State, for the at large bid, since they travel so well.  Don’t sleep on Michigan, they could trump the conference title game loser with 1 loss, maybe even with 2.

Big 12 Scenarios:

I’m not even sure an undefeated Kansas State trumps Boise, so for now he’s here I see it playing out, IF (losses):
k-state (0), ok (2), okst (2) -> k state to fiesta, ok to sugar
k-state (0), ok (3), okst (1) -> k state to fiesta, okst to sugar
k-state (2), ok (1), okst (1) -> ok to fiesta, okstate or b10 loser to sugar
k-state (1), ok (1), okst (2) -> ok to fiesta, b10 loser to sugar
k-state (2), ok (2), okst (0) -> okst to championship, ok to sugar/fiesta
k-state (1), ok (3), okst (0) ->okst to championship, b10 loser to sugar/fiesta

And Missouri wins everything by going to the SEC.

blog comments powered by Disqus